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Syrian Victory Will Reshape the Middle East and Recalibrate Global Hegemony

by Wayne Sonter - 30 Oct 2017


The following prognosis, by ex-UK diplomat Alistair Cooke(*), presents us with a war in Syria that has already been won – “notwithstanding the caution of President Bashar al-Assad in saying that signs of success are not success itself“.


The Syrian War has resulted in an 'axis of resistance' creating a contiguous bloc consisting of Iran, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, that has achieved a “critical mass of land, resources and population of real weight” whose interaction will positively alter power balances within the Middle East.

This new power balance also coincides with the eclipse of ‘intolerant, puritan Islam’ (i.e., Wahhabism, the politico-religious fascist ideology by which Saudi Arabia projected its power as a significant player within the current global, imperialist hegemony) and may lead to ‘bottom up’ replacing ‘top down’ politics, based on the ‘needs of local politics, in all its diversity’.

For Cooke, the only fly in the ointment to this ideal outcome is the Israeli-US intent to leverage the Kurds’ ‘independence “project”’ against the Syrian state, which if ‘mishandled’, could ‘easily spin into violence and region-wide instability’.

He sees this very likelihood – that such a project could ‘spin into violence and region-wide instability’, along with ‘universal regional hostility’ to Kurdish ‘projects’, and the Kurds themselves eventually realizing the inconstancy of US promises and the increasing obviousness that Russia (and Iran) “represent the incoming tide” -- as militating against the Kurdish ‘project, with all its risks,’ being allowed to proceed.

However, it may be equally likely that rather than give up its regional and global objectives for fear of 'region-wide instability’, the USA sees that if Plan ‘A’ (toppling Assad and the secular, Baathist socialist state) is not going to work directly, then it still has the ability to muscle through Plan ‘B’ (partition Syria and from there, possibly continue to harass the diminished Syrian state).

Even more so, if neither Plans ‘A’ or ‘B’ transpire in the near term, then ‘creative chaos’ is the long standing default mechanism the USA can use to after all achieve its regional goals (centred around subjugation of Iran and bolstering Israel and Saudi Arabia as regional hegemons) and at least part of its global strategic objectives (‘degrading’ Russia to isolate China and maintain US global hegemony).

From this perspective Syria is not now in its ‘end-game’ phase, with the USA and its regional lieutenants retiring to lick their wounds. Syria was in the first place merely a pathway for the USA to Iran and the Caucasus. Its ‘regime’ was meant to be swiftly and effortlessly swept out of the way as part of a larger game, which includes restructuring the Middle East.

In the larger game Syria has just been a badly played start and the ground lost (or not gained) in the first phase may still be recoverable mid-game.

This view may especially prevail where generals are put in charge of US foreign policy, as is becoming increasingly the case in a USA where the military-industrial-financial complex no longer bothers to hide its power ‘behind the throne’.

This is indicated in the following article from ‘Business Insider’, which declares that a showdown is looming between Russia and USA, as the “US-allied fighters hurtle down the eastern bank of the Euphrates River” and both US and Russian allies “are racing to take over the same strategic oil-rich territory from the Islamic State group.”

Note here that Syria has disappeared out of the picture – the conflict is being portrayed as more of an inter-imperialist rivalry to take otherwise unassigned land from its current occupiers, to reap the rewards its capture will bring in a free-for-all.

So it becomes a matter of “rival international coalitions compet[ing] to defeat the militants and snap up oil and gas fields”, which may be “fueling concerns of conflict between the two groups and their superpower sponsors”; nevertheless, the USA is “prepared to defend our partners if they are attacked, whether by ISIS fighters or by anyone else”.

For the US-backed Kurdish ‘Syrian Democratic Forces’ (SDF), who "now control nearly 25 per cent of Syrian territory and have expanded into non-Kurdish, Arab-dominated areas, unsettling Damascus”, their seizure of the Al-Omar oil fields, is seen as a ‘major prize’.

Al-Omar, as Syria’s largest oil field, would be an invaluable recovery for the government of Syria, “whose coffers are decimated by the country's war, now in its seventh year”, but the SDF has “checkmated it”. As the SDF commander states, "We were determined to get this oil field. … Our project is to liberate the eastern bank — all of it".

Despite Syrian objections (and the fact the US and its proxies’ interventions and occupation of Syrian territory are completely illegal), US ‘experts’ close to the US State Department expect “Russia, Iran, and Assad” to “cut a strategic deal with the main Kurdish militia for the future governance of eastern Syria”, in accord with the facts established on the ground, with US backing.
It looks as though Russia, Syria and Iran, if they don't like this will have to lump it, or fight to get it back from the proxies under US patronage.

Just to keep the pressure on, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson has reaffirmed that there is no future for the “Assad regime and the Assad family” in a post-war Syria (or put another way, Syria will not reach a ‘post-war’ stage until Assad and the Baathist state is disposed of, that is, regime change has taken place) “and the only issue is how should that be brought about”.

It certainly seems as if the US has inserted some pretty good qualifiers into the Syrian ‘end-of-war’ process to justify and ensure that war in the Middle East in fact continues to simmer, with every opportunity for it to boil over at the slightest provocation or miscalculation!

SOURCE  https://www.facebook.com/wayne.sonter.7/posts/10155987152699391




This is why Russia vetoed UN resolution on extending Syria chemical probe


24/ Oct / 2017



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3d0aYj3XjUc

Moscow vetoed a UN Security Council resolution to renew the mandate for a UN mission investigating the use of chemical weapons in Syria. Ahead of the vote, Russia suggested postponing the discussion, but its proposal was rejected.

The current mandate for UN and Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) representatives to work in Syria expires on November 17.

Washington has prepared a document to prolong the mandate, which was supported by 11 votes on Tuesday. Two UNSC members – Russia and Bolivia – voted against the document, while China and Kazakhstan abstained.

Later this week, the UN-OPCW Joint Investigative Mechanism (JIM) is scheduled to deliver a report on the alleged chemical weapon attack on the Syrian town of Khan Sheikhoun on April 4. Russia proposed hearing the mission’s findings before voting on a new document. However, Washington insisted the Security Council votes on the new mandate before a report is presented.

Describing the vote as "a directed performance," Russia's UN envoy Vasily Nebenzya said he was "amused at how some delegations had read their prepared statements condemning the use of other countries' veto power" ahead of the actual voting process.

Moscow regrets that those behind the resolution have chosen "the course of confrontation and split within the Security Council," the Russian diplomat said. Nebenzya added that Russia will get back to the issue of the probe's mandate after the JIM report is released.

The Russian Foreign Ministry has earlier said that the US demands for the prolongation of the probe "look at the very least strange."

"It is necessary to act in accordance with an established practice, when a UN structure's report is first studied, and then a question on a mandate's prolongation is discussed," the ministry said in a statement on Monday, condemning the "hyped up hysteria" on the issue.

Russia and Syria have repeatedly called on the international community to conduct a thorough and impartial investigation into the alleged sarin gas attack in the Idlib governorate, which is believed to have claimed the lives of up to 100 civilians.

Back in April, Washington launched 59 Tomahawk missiles at Syria's Shayrat Airbase in response to the alleged chemical attack, which it blamed on the Syrian government.

The previous investigation report, released by the OPCW in June, stated that traces of sarin had been found in soil samples. Commenting on the findings, Moscow warned that the report had many flaws and could not be deemed conclusive.

The JIM mission never actually visited the site of the alleged attack, Russia pointed out, saying that the experts relied on evidence collected by the militant groups controlling the area. The mission also failed to properly inspect the Shayrat Airbase, Moscow said, explaining that while the experts visited the Syrian airfield, they did not collect ground samples there.

At the time of the April attack, the area of Khan Sheikhoun was under the control of Tahrir al-Sham, better known as the Al-Nusra Front terrorist group. Last week, the US State Department admitted that militants linked to Al-Nusra Front are carrying out terrorist attacks using chemical weapons in Syria.

SYRIAN ARMY CAPTURED STUNNING NUMBER OF ISIS WEAPONS AND MILITARY EQUIPMENT IN MAYADIN (OVERVIEW, PHOTOS, VIDEOS)

 19.10.2017

Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
On Thursday, the Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA) released a video showing of the weapons and ammunition captured by the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and the Tiger Forces from ISIS in Mayadin city.
The video showed that the SAA has captured dozens of light, and heavy machine guns and sniper rifles. The SAA also captured several anti-tank weapons including at least 3 Russian-made RPG-29. In addition, 2 unidentified man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADs) were captured by the SAA. The SAA also seized more than 20 drones, and what appears to be some ISIS made DIY drones.
The SAA also captured the following heavy weapons:
  • 3 T-55 tanks one of them up-armored;
  • 1 T-62 tank;
  • 1 Humvee armored vehicle;
  • 1 VBIED;
  • 1 M-46 130 mm artillery pieces;
  • 2 D-20 152 mm artillery piece;
  • 1 D-30 122-mm artillery piece mounted on a truck.
A US-made M198 155mm artillery piece was also sized by the SAA. The piece was likely captured by ISIS from the Iraqi Army back in 2014. The ISIS serial number on the artillery is (008), which could mean that ISIS captured at least 8 of these US made artillery.
Syrian pro-government sources released another video that showed a communication center of ISIS. According to the sources, the SAA captured many US-made military radio systems inside the center.
An officer of the SAA told SANA that the weapons and ammunition that were displayed are only 25% of what the SAA sized inside Mayadin. The amount of the weapons captured by the SAA proves that ISIS didn’t expect the SAA could advance so rapidly towards this strategic city.
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image
Syrian Army Captured Stunning Number Of ISIS Weapons And Military Equipment In Mayadin (Overview, Photos, Videos)
Click to see the full-size image

The Anatomy of "Syria's Revolution"

by Syriana Analysis (SA)

In cooperation with Innab National Secular Project, Syriana Analysis presents this video which deals with the concept of revolution in a scientific way and applies it to the Syrian situation. SA also documents the major lies that the Islamist Takfiris marketed since the early days of the crisis.

 


 8 Oct 2017